Match Info

League Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Petrosport Stadium (Cairo)


	Wadi Degla		Tala`ea El-Gaish

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.68	2.92
	2.81	2.75	3
	2.48	2.66	3.44	Watch
	2.63	2.5	2.8
	2.4	2.64	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.9)	2.65 ↓ (2.83)	3.09 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wadi Degla
35.7%

Draw
34.6%

Tala`ea El-Gaish
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wadi Degla's form might have worsened.

Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tala`ea El-Gaish's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wadi Degla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tala`ea El-Gaish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El Gaish Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Wadi Degla will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossam A. (G)
14. Abdelaati M.
9. Boli F.
12. Dahesh A.
44. El Shimi A.
2. Maher S.
20. Oya Y.
24. Ragab M.
8. Scholes A.
28. Teka S.
22. Zizo
Substitutes
11. Abdelrahim M.
3. Adly O.
23. Ayman A.
10. Diasty M.
25. El Bahnasi I.
47. Hassan H.
33. Miskic D.
21. Reda A.
18. Shaaban A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, El Shimi A. ⚽, Zizo (A),
19', 2 - 0, Oya Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tarek A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
46', Omran R. ↓, Khaled H. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Hany M. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Dahesh A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
62', Scholes A. ↓, Miskic D. ↑,
72', Mohareb I. ↓, Atef M. ↑,
72', Hany M. ↓, El Gabry H. ↑,
77', El Shimi A. ↓, El Bahnasi I. ↑,
77', Zizo ↓, Diasty M. ↑,
80', Hatem F. ↓, Awad K. ↑,
89', Abdelaati M. ↓, Adly O. ↑,
90', Sotohi K. 🟨,
90+1', Teka S. 🟨,
90+2', Keita A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Boli F. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wadi Degla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wadi Degla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Wadi Degla - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 45.77%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
20.03.26	Wadi Degla - El Gouna	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Wadi Degla - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Al Masry - Wadi Degla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTWT
- Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian Premier League
22.03.26	ZED - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
18.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - ZED	1:3 ET ✺
13.03.26	Ceramica Cleopatra - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:1 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
09.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Petrojet - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
19.09.25	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0
25.05.21	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:1
15.01.21	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	1:0
21.09.20	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	1:0
03.01.20	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:3
11.03.19	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0
03.10.18	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	1:2

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